Hajduk Split 1-3 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.64
Over 2.5
35%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.88
No
61%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
4.2
6+ Goals
7%
21.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.57 — our 37% vs market 31.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.5pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
57%
+7.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
43%
-7.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.9pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
0.97/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.50
+9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
17.5 Crosses 11.5
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hajduk Split
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.71 xG 0.59
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
252 Passes 311
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-2 HT 1-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
01.12.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
13.09.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
03.04.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIRK
30.03.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
17.12.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hajduk Split
1-3
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.44 xG 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
273 Passes 330
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb saw off Hajduk Split 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Dinamo Zagreb found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hajduk Split had 47% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 53%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.44 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hajduk Split and 0.67 for Dinamo Zagreb.

What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Hajduk Split 1-3 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 35%, draw 27%, Dinamo Zagreb 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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