Dinamo Zagreb 2-2 Hajduk Split — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.85
2-3 Goals
36%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.67
6+ Goals
8%
16.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 36% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-9.3pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.1pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.47/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.17
+19% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
21.7 Crosses 14.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hajduk Split
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.66 xG 0.76
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
330 Passes 223
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
01.12.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
13.09.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
03.04.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIRK
30.03.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
17.12.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
01.10.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
2-2
AWAY Hajduk Split
0.48 xG 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
277 Passes 300
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
8 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dinamo Zagreb vs Hajduk Split
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb and Hajduk Split couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dinamo Zagreb had 47% of the ball to Hajduk Split's 53%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 0.48 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Dinamo Zagreb and 0.50 for Hajduk Split.

What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs Hajduk Split?

Dinamo Zagreb 2-2 Hajduk Split in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Zagreb vs Hajduk Split?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Zagreb 39%, draw 31%, Hajduk Split 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HIR More Croatia - 1. HNL
2 Mar 2025
19:45 Sibenik vs NK Varazdin Analysis →