Sibenik 0-2 NK Varazdin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 2 Mar 2025

Sibenik
0-2 HT 0-1
NK Varazdin
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Croatia - 1. HNL – 2024/2025

Sibenik vs NK Varazdin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.38
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
39%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.07
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
5.39
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
38%
-9.0pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.0pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+8.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sibenik v NK Varazdin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sibenik EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
0.97/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.88
-29% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
16.7 Crosses 16.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Sibenik vs NK Varazdin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sibenik
0W-2D-4L
AWAY NK Varazdin
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.35 xG 1.32
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
237 Passes 347
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.11.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-1 HT 1-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
15.09.2024 Sibenik Sibenik 0-0 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
05.05.2023 Sibenik Sibenik 0-2 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
04.03.2023 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-0 HT 1-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
28.10.2022 Sibenik Sibenik 1-2 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
20.08.2022 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-2 HT 1-1 Sibenik Sibenik HIR

Sibenik 0-2 NK Varazdin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sibenik
0-2
AWAY NK Varazdin
1.02 xG 0.64
70% Ball Possession 30%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
361 Passes 118
75% Pass Accuracy 54%
24 Box Touches 6
33 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sibenik vs NK Varazdin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Varazdin saw off Sibenik 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (29% / 32% / 39%) promised a tight game; NK Varazdin found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sibenik had 70% of the ball to NK Varazdin's 30%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.02 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NK Varazdin led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sibenik and 1.67 for NK Varazdin.

What was the final score of Sibenik vs NK Varazdin?

Sibenik 0-2 NK Varazdin in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sibenik vs NK Varazdin?

Before kick-off our model rated an NK Varazdin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sibenik 29%, draw 32%, NK Varazdin 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NK Varazdin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (NK Varazdin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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