Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-0 Istra 1961 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.58
6+ Goals
12%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 30% vs market 26.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 48%
-10% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
0.98/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.03
-17% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
19.6 Crosses 16.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Istra 1961
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.32 xG 1.21
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
263 Passes 278
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.03.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 3-0 HT 3-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIRK
28.02.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 3-2 HT 3-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
01.12.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-2 HT 0-2 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
14.09.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
29.03.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
16.12.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-0 HT 1-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
0-0
AWAY Istra 1961
0.34 xG 0.47
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
387 Passes 435
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
6 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiva Zagreb and Istra 1961 played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Istra 1961 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 47% of the ball to Istra 1961's 53%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.34 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Istra 1961 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 1.33 for Istra 1961.

What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961?

Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-0 Istra 1961 in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961?

Before kick-off our model rated an Istra 1961 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 32%, draw 27%, Istra 1961 41%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Istra 1961) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Istra 1961) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HIR More Croatia - 1. HNL
3 May 2025
17:00 Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb Analysis →