Istra 1961 3-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
39%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.38
2-3 Goals
36%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
4.46
6+ Goals
8%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.8pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+8.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 34%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.42
-31% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istra 1961
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.08 xG 1.35
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
278 Passes 260
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 3-2 HT 3-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
01.12.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-2 HT 0-2 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
14.09.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
29.03.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
16.12.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-0 HT 1-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
02.10.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-4 HT 0-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istra 1961
3-0
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Istra 1961 cruised past Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Istra 1961 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Istra 1961 had 50% of the ball to Lokomotiva Zagreb's 50%, shots finished 7-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiva Zagreb led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Istra 1961 and 2.00 for Lokomotiva Zagreb.

What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Istra 1961 3-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb in the Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiva Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 35%, draw 26%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 39%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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