Hajduk Split 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.69
4-5 Goals
17%
3.9
6+ Goals
8%
18.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63 — our 37% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.1pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.02/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.36
-14% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
16.6 Crosses 11.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hajduk Split
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.75 xG 0.69
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
261 Passes 312
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-3 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
02.03.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-2 HT 1-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
01.12.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
13.09.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
03.04.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIRK
30.03.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hajduk Split
0-2
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.47 xG 0.63
63% Ball Possession 37%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
518 Passes 268
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb got the better of Hajduk Split 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Dinamo Zagreb found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hajduk Split had 63% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 37%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.47 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hajduk Split and 1.17 for Dinamo Zagreb.

What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Hajduk Split 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 33%, draw 27%, Dinamo Zagreb 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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