Heracles 1-1 Telstar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 6 Dec 2025

Heracles
1-1 HT 0-0
Telstar
📅06/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Heracles vs Telstar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.53
No
38%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.35
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.89
6+ Goals
14%
8.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.25
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
18%
5.61
X/2
11%
6.43
X/X
11%
5.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.55
2/2
13%
4.02
2/X
7%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.55 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
41%
+5.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-4.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
61%
+0.5pp
38%
BTTS No
39%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heracles v Telstar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heracles EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Telstar EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+42% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
23.0 Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards –

Heracles vs Telstar Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heracles
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Telstar
4.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.32 xG 0.90
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
372 Passes 328
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.02.2023 Heracles Heracles 7-0 HT 4-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
16.09.2022 Telstar Telstar 0-3 HT 0-0 Heracles Heracles HOL2
28.10.2020 Heracles Heracles 3-0 HT 1-0 Telstar Telstar HOK

Heracles 1-1 Telstar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heracles
1-1
AWAY Telstar
2.21 xG 0.91
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
244 Passes 317
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Heracles vs Telstar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heracles and Telstar shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Heracles at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Heracles had 46% of the ball to Telstar's 54%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.21 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Heracles had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 4.33 goals for Heracles and 0.00 for Telstar.

What was the final score of Heracles vs Telstar?

Heracles 1-1 Telstar in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heracles vs Telstar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heracles win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Heracles 46%, draw 24%, Telstar 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Heracles), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Heracles) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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