Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortuna Sittard v Ajax — Team-Based Signals
Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Ajax
HOL
4-0
HT 2-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
2-3
HT 1-0
Ajax
HOL
Fortuna Sittard 1-3 Ajax — Actual Match Statistics
Ajax beat Fortuna Sittard 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Ajax as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Fortuna Sittard had 36% of the ball to Ajax's 64%, shots finished 26-13, expected goals 2.72 to 1.15 — on chances, Fortuna Sittard could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fortuna Sittard and 2.67 for Ajax.
What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax?
Fortuna Sittard 1-3 Ajax in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard 31%, draw 22%, Ajax 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.