Heerenveen 0-2 PSV Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 6 Dec 2025

Heerenveen
0-2 HT 0-2
PSV Eindhoven
📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Heerenveen vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
48%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.98
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.35
No
35%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
7.5
2-3 Goals
41%
2.28
4-5 Goals
28%
2.39
6+ Goals
12%
4.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.12
1/2
8%
17.95
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
7%
8.62
X/2
13%
5.21
X/X
11%
7.27
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
27.5
2/2
28%
2.36
2/X
3%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 7% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.8pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.2pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-2.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.4pp
65%
BTTS Yes
70%
-5.3pp
35%
BTTS No
30%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heerenveen v PSV Eindhoven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heerenveen EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 55%
+7% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.80/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/0.88
+34% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 83%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.5
18.4 Crosses 17.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6

Heerenveen vs PSV Eindhoven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heerenveen
1W-1D-4L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.76 xG 2.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
279 Passes 498
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 37
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-1 HT 1-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
14.12.2024 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-0 HT 0-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
25.04.2024 Heerenveen Heerenveen 0-8 HT 0-5 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
07.12.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-0 HT 1-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
21.05.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-3 HT 1-2 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
09.10.2022 Heerenveen Heerenveen 0-1 HT 0-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL

Heerenveen 0-2 PSV Eindhoven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heerenveen
0-2
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
0.81 xG 0.77
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 3
274 Passes 535
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 33
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Heerenveen vs PSV Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven saw off Heerenveen 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Heerenveen had 38% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven's 62%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.81 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Heerenveen and 2.67 for PSV Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Heerenveen vs PSV Eindhoven?

Heerenveen 0-2 PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heerenveen vs PSV Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Heerenveen 29%, draw 23%, PSV Eindhoven 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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