Sirens 1-2 Santa Lucia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
28%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.21
Over 2.5
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.7pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.2pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-5.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.3pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sirens EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Lucia EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sirens
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Santa Lucia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2024 Sirens Sirens 3-1 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia MLTAK
02.03.2024 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia 1-1 HT 0-0 Sirens Sirens MLTP
29.10.2023 Sirens Sirens 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia MLTP
12.03.2023 Sirens Sirens 2-1 HT 1-1 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia MLTP
29.10.2022 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia 0-0 HT 0-0 Sirens Sirens MLTP
23.01.2022 Sirens Sirens 2-1 HT 1-1 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia MLTP
POST-MATCH Sirens vs Santa Lucia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Lucia edged past Sirens 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 28% — and on the day Santa Lucia made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sirens had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sirens and 0.67 for Santa Lucia.

What was the final score of Sirens vs Santa Lucia?

Sirens 1-2 Santa Lucia in the Malta - FA Cup on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sirens vs Santa Lucia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sirens win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sirens 40%, draw 32%, Santa Lucia 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sirens), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sirens) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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