Maritimo 2-0 Torreense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.77
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.9
6+ Goals
10%
18.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 30% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maritimo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Torreense EU Bookmakers 30%
-10% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +25%
1.26/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.29
-16% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
271 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.2 Crosses 18.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maritimo
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Torreense
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.91 xG 1.69
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
269 Passes 238
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2025 Torreense Torreense 2-2 HT 2-1 Maritimo Maritimo POR2
15.12.2024 Maritimo Maritimo 0-3 HT 0-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
07.04.2024 Torreense Torreense 0-0 HT 0-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR2
19.11.2023 Maritimo Maritimo 1-2 HT 1-2 Torreense Torreense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maritimo
2-0
AWAY Torreense
2.01 xG 0.39
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
276 Passes 197
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Maritimo vs Torreense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maritimo got the better of Torreense 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Maritimo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Maritimo had 60% of the ball to Torreense's 40%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 2.01 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Torreense led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Maritimo and 1.75 for Torreense.

What was the final score of Maritimo vs Torreense?

Maritimo 2-0 Torreense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maritimo vs Torreense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 42%, draw 28%, Torreense 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maritimo), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maritimo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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