Maritimo 0-3 Torreense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.66
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.93
6+ Goals
11%
18.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
51%
-10.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+8.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maritimo EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Torreense EU Bookmakers 26%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.27/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.44
-4% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.6 Crosses 20.0
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maritimo
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Torreense
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.00 xG 1.13
55% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
342 Passes 259
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
07.04.2024 Torreense Torreense 0-0 HT 0-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR2
19.11.2023 Maritimo Maritimo 1-2 HT 1-2 Torreense Torreense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maritimo
0-3
AWAY Torreense
0.64 xG 2.59
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
229 Passes 221
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Maritimo vs Torreense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense ran out comfortable winners over Maritimo 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Torreense made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maritimo had 54% of the ball to Torreense's 46%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.64 to 2.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Torreense led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Maritimo and 1.00 for Torreense.

What was the final score of Maritimo vs Torreense?

Maritimo 0-3 Torreense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maritimo vs Torreense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 40%, draw 28%, Torreense 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Maritimo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maritimo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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