Felgueiras 1932 2-1 Vizela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
4.38
6+ Goals
8%
23.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.42 — our 35% vs market 33.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
19%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.8pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela EU Bookmakers 32%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.14/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.49
-39% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.5 Crosses 17.5
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Felgueiras 1932
2-1
AWAY Vizela
2.12 xG 0.59
51% Ball Possession 49%
1 Total Shots 6
0 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
94 Passes 255
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Felgueiras 1932 vs Vizela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Felgueiras 1932 edged past Vizela 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Felgueiras 1932 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Felgueiras 1932 had 51% of the ball to Vizela's 49%, shots finished 1-6, expected goals 2.12 to 0.59 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Felgueiras 1932's control.

What was the final score of Felgueiras 1932 vs Vizela?

Felgueiras 1932 2-1 Vizela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Felgueiras 1932 vs Vizela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Felgueiras 1932 36%, draw 29%, Vizela 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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