Tondela vs Portimonense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tondela v Portimonense — Team-Based Signals
Tondela vs Portimonense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Tondela
POR
0-3
HT 0-2
Portimonense
POR
3-0
HT 2-0
Tondela
POR
1-0
HT 1-0
Portimonense
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Tondela
POR
1-2
HT 0-2
Portimonense
POR
Tondela 2-0 Portimonense — Actual Match Statistics
Tondela beat Portimonense 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Tondela as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Tondela had 47% of the ball to Portimonense's 53%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.23 to 1.01.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tondela and 1.50 for Portimonense.
What was the final score of Tondela vs Portimonense?
Tondela 2-0 Portimonense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tondela vs Portimonense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tondela 48%, draw 28%, Portimonense 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tondela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.