Torreense 2-2 Maritimo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.79
6+ Goals
11%
16.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+7.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torreense EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Maritimo EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +23%
1.47/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.37
-18% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.1 Crosses 18.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torreense
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Maritimo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.62 xG 0.88
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
246 Passes 304
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Crosses 30
4 Yellow Cards 1
15.12.2024 Maritimo Maritimo 0-3 HT 0-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
07.04.2024 Torreense Torreense 0-0 HT 0-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR2
19.11.2023 Maritimo Maritimo 1-2 HT 1-2 Torreense Torreense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torreense
2-2
AWAY Maritimo
1.91 xG 1.01
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
215 Passes 163
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torreense vs Maritimo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense and Maritimo couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Torreense had 50% of the ball to Maritimo's 50%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.91 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Torreense had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Torreense and 0.33 for Maritimo.

What was the final score of Torreense vs Maritimo?

Torreense 2-2 Maritimo in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torreense vs Maritimo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Torreense 35%, draw 26%, Maritimo 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Maritimo) ✗ Under 2.5
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POR2 More Portugal - 2nd Division
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