Vizela 1-1 Felgueiras 1932 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 26 Apr 2025

Vizela
1-1 HT 0-1
Felgueiras 1932
📅26/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Vizela vs Felgueiras 1932 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.15
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 28% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
56%
-12.8pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.4pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vizela v Felgueiras 1932 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vizela EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.73/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.27
+14% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.5 Crosses 8.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.7

Vizela vs Felgueiras 1932 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vizela
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.59 xG 2.12
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 1
2 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 5
255 Passes 94
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.12.2024 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 2-1 HT 0-1 Vizela Vizela POR2

Vizela 1-1 Felgueiras 1932 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vizela
1-1
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
0.84 xG 0.65
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
348 Passes 75
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vizela vs Felgueiras 1932
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vizela and Felgueiras 1932 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vizela at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vizela had 61% of the ball to Felgueiras 1932's 39%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 0.84 to 0.65.

What was the final score of Vizela vs Felgueiras 1932?

Vizela 1-1 Felgueiras 1932 in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vizela vs Felgueiras 1932?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vizela win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vizela 43%, draw 29%, Felgueiras 1932 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vizela), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vizela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR2 More Portugal - 2nd Division
26 Apr 2025
13:00 Torreense vs Maritimo Analysis →