Academica vs Mafra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Academica v Mafra — Team-Based Signals
Academica vs Mafra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Mafra
POR2
2-2
HT 1-0
Academica
POR2
2-2
HT 2-0
Academica
POR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Mafra
POR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Mafra
POR2
Academica 3-3 Mafra — Actual Match Statistics
Academica and Mafra couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Academica at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Academica had 59% of the ball to Mafra's 41%, shots finished 14-8.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mafra led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Academica and 1.17 for Mafra.
What was the final score of Academica vs Mafra?
Academica 3-3 Mafra in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Academica vs Mafra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Academica 45%, draw 26%, Mafra 29%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.