Sanjoanense 0-2 Amarante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Amarante EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.77/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.38
+38% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanjoanense
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Amarante
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.08.2025 Amarante Amarante 0-0 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
02.11.2024 Amarante Amarante 1-0 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
03.08.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-1 HT 0-1 Amarante Amarante POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanjoanense
0-2
AWAY Amarante
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sanjoanense vs Amarante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amarante saw off Sanjoanense 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sanjoanense at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Sanjoanense had 61% of the ball to Amarante's 39%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Amarante led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Sanjoanense and 0.67 for Amarante.

What was the final score of Sanjoanense vs Amarante?

Sanjoanense 0-2 Amarante in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanjoanense vs Amarante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanjoanense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sanjoanense 41%, draw 25%, Amarante 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sanjoanense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanjoanense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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