Mafra 1-0 Academica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 24 Aug 2025

Mafra
1-0 HT 0-0
Academica
📅24/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Portugal - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Mafra vs Academica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.6
Over 2.5
50%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.6pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mafra v Academica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Academica EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.98
-22% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Mafra vs Academica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Academica
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.56 xG 1.75
55% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
369 Passes 284
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
30.04.2022 Academica Academica 0-2 HT 0-0 Mafra Mafra POR2
18.12.2021 Mafra Mafra 2-2 HT 1-0 Academica Academica POR2
08.05.2021 Mafra Mafra 2-2 HT 2-0 Academica Academica POR2
11.01.2021 Academica Academica 1-0 HT 0-0 Mafra Mafra POR2
15.02.2020 Academica Academica 0-0 HT 0-0 Mafra Mafra POR2
01.09.2019 Mafra Mafra 1-0 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR2

Mafra 1-0 Academica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra
1-0
AWAY Academica
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mafra vs Academica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra nicked a narrow win over Academica 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Mafra found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Mafra had 45% of the ball to Academica's 55%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mafra had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mafra and 0.83 for Academica.

What was the final score of Mafra vs Academica?

Mafra 1-0 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra vs Academica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mafra win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mafra 37%, draw 28%, Academica 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mafra) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mafra) ✗ BTTS Yes
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