Sao Joao Ver 0-2 Vitoria Guimaraes II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.3pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes II EU Bookmakers 36%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.90/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/0.96
-29% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Joao Ver
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes II
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 6
04.02.2023 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II 1-3 HT 0-2 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
22.10.2022 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 2-1 HT 0-1 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Joao Ver
0-2
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes II
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Sao Joao Ver vs Vitoria Guimaraes II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitoria Guimaraes II saw off Sao Joao Ver 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Vitoria Guimaraes II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sao Joao Ver had 49% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes II's 51%, shots finished 7-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sao Joao Ver had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sao Joao Ver and 1.00 for Vitoria Guimaraes II.

What was the final score of Sao Joao Ver vs Vitoria Guimaraes II?

Sao Joao Ver 0-2 Vitoria Guimaraes II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Joao Ver vs Vitoria Guimaraes II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Joao Ver win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sao Joao Ver 40%, draw 23%, Vitoria Guimaraes II 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sao Joao Ver) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sao Joao Ver) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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