Atletico CP 2-0 Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.8pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Caldas EU Bookmakers 28%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +21%
1.27/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.45
-5% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico CP
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Caldas
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.01.2025 Caldas Caldas 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
06.10.2024 Atletico CP Atletico CP 4-0 HT 1-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
05.11.2023 Atletico CP Atletico CP 0-2 HT 0-2 Caldas Caldas POR3
08.08.2023 Caldas Caldas 3-3 HT 2-1 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico CP
2-0
AWAY Caldas
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico CP vs Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico CP saw off Caldas 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico CP as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Atletico CP had 45% of the ball to Caldas's 55%, shots finished 10-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atletico CP and 1.50 for Caldas.

What was the final score of Atletico CP vs Caldas?

Atletico CP 2-0 Caldas in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico CP vs Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atletico CP 45%, draw 25%, Caldas 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico CP), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico CP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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