AVS 1-2 Rio Ave — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 6 Dec 2025

AVS
1-2 HT 0-1
Rio Ave
📅06/12/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
46%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.86
6+ Goals
9%
17.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.61
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
9%
13.65
X/1
10%
6.34
X/2
18%
5.18
X/X
10%
4.4
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
21%
3.36
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-4.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
46%
Away Win
40%
+6.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AVS EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.14/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.14
+3% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +45%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
13.6 Crosses 14.3
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AVS
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Rio Ave
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.62 xG 1.42
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
234 Passes 418
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
16.02.2025 Rio Ave Rio Ave 1-1 HT 0-1 AVS AVS POR
14.09.2024 AVS AVS 1-0 HT 0-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AVS
1-2
AWAY Rio Ave
1.63 xG 2.37
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 11
179 Passes 356
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 36
9 Crosses 33
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH AVS vs Rio Ave
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave nicked a narrow win over AVS 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rio Ave as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, AVS had 35% of the ball to Rio Ave's 65%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 1.63 to 2.37.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, AVS had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AVS and 0.50 for Rio Ave.

What was the final score of AVS vs Rio Ave?

AVS 1-2 Rio Ave in the Portugal - Premier League on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AVS vs Rio Ave?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rio Ave win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split AVS 28%, draw 26%, Rio Ave 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rio Ave), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rio Ave) ✓ BTTS Yes
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