Rio Ave 1-1 AVS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 16 Feb 2025

Rio Ave
1-1 HT 0-1
AVS
📅16/02/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.72
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
4.02
6+ Goals
10%
19.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.18
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
13%
4.92
X/2
9%
6.52
X/X
14%
4.17
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
12%
4.92
2/X
9%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY AVS EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.26/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.15
+0% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
17.6 Crosses 15.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Ave
0W-0D-1L
AWAY AVS
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 0.59
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
465 Passes 258
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.09.2024 AVS AVS 1-0 HT 0-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave
1-1
AWAY AVS
1.80 xG 0.65
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
372 Passes 211
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
37 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 15
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rio Ave vs AVS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave and AVS couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rio Ave at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Rio Ave had 61% of the ball to AVS's 39%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.80 to 0.65.

What was the final score of Rio Ave vs AVS?

Rio Ave 1-1 AVS in the Portugal - Premier League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave vs AVS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rio Ave win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave 42%, draw 29%, AVS 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rio Ave), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rio Ave) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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