Farense vs Porto Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Farense v Porto — Team-Based Signals
Farense vs Porto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Farense
POR
5-1
HT 3-0
Farense
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Porto
POR
0-3
HT 0-1
Porto
POR
Farense 0-1 Porto — Actual Match Statistics
Porto nicked a narrow win over Farense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Porto as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Farense had 34% of the ball to Porto's 66%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.41 to 1.22.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Farense and 2.67 for Porto.
What was the final score of Farense vs Porto?
Farense 0-1 Porto in the Portugal - Premier League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Farense vs Porto?
Before kick-off our model rated an Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Farense 22%, draw 24%, Porto 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.