Porto vs Farense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Porto v Farense — Team-Based Signals
Porto vs Farense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Farense
POR
5-1
HT 3-0
Farense
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Porto
POR
0-3
HT 0-1
Porto
POR
2-0
HT 2-0
Farense
POR
Porto 2-1 Farense — Actual Match Statistics
Porto nicked a narrow win over Farense 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Porto as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.
On the day, Porto had 72% of the ball to Farense's 28%, shots finished 25-13, expected goals 4.50 to 0.91 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Porto's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Porto and 0.50 for Farense.
What was the final score of Porto vs Farense?
Porto 2-1 Farense in the Portugal - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Porto vs Farense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Porto 71%, draw 17%, Farense 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.