Estoril vs Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estoril v Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Estoril vs Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Estoril
PORLC
1-2
HT 0-1
Nacional
POR2
2-1
HT 2-0
Nacional
HAZ
0-1
HT 0-0
Nacional
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Estoril
POR
4-1
HT 1-0
Estoril
POR
Estoril 1-0 Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Estoril nicked a narrow win over Nacional 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Estoril made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Estoril had 52% of the ball to Nacional's 48%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.03 to 2.38 — the balance of chances actually favoured Nacional.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Estoril and 1.50 for Nacional.
What was the final score of Estoril vs Nacional?
Estoril 1-0 Nacional in the Portugal - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estoril vs Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Estoril 37%, draw 29%, Nacional 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estoril), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.