Eyüpspor 1-1 Kayserispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 30% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.87
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1 EV+ ✗
25%
4.96
X/2
9%
7.31
X/X
10%
4.82
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
9%
5.24
2/X
11%
13.5
Value flag · X/1 at 4.96 — our 25% vs market 16.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-2.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 31%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.78/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.51
+27% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 79%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
13.3 Crosses 17.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eyüpspor
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Kayserispor
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.52 xG 1.26
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
336 Passes 319
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
16.02.2025 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
15.09.2024 Kayserispor Kayserispor 2-2 HT 0-2 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor TSL
14.12.2017 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TÜK
30.11.2017 Kayserispor Kayserispor 3-2 HT 1-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eyüpspor
1-1
AWAY Kayserispor
1.17 xG 0.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
399 Passes 253
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Eyüpspor vs Kayserispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eyüpspor and Kayserispor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Eyüpspor at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Eyüpspor had 59% of the ball to Kayserispor's 41%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.17 to 0.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kayserispor led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Eyüpspor and 2.00 for Kayserispor.

What was the final score of Eyüpspor vs Kayserispor?

Eyüpspor 1-1 Kayserispor in the Turkey - Super League on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eyüpspor vs Kayserispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eyüpspor win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Eyüpspor 49%, draw 26%, Kayserispor 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Eyüpspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eyüpspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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