Kayserispor 2-2 Eyüpspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.33
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 29% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.52
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
11%
13.2
X/1
13%
5.29
X/2
12%
5.7
X/X
7%
4.66
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
16%
3.9
2/X
6%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+2.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.53/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.55
-8% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 82%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
23.4 Crosses 12.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kayserispor
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Eyüpspor
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
14.12.2017 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TÜK
30.11.2017 Kayserispor Kayserispor 3-2 HT 1-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kayserispor
2-2
AWAY Eyüpspor
1.91 xG 2.74
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 8
423 Passes 264
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kayserispor vs Eyüpspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kayserispor and Eyüpspor shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Kayserispor at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kayserispor had 60% of the ball to Eyüpspor's 40%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.91 to 2.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kayserispor had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Kayserispor and 1.00 for Eyüpspor.

What was the final score of Kayserispor vs Eyüpspor?

Kayserispor 2-2 Eyüpspor in the Turkey - Super League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kayserispor vs Eyüpspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kayserispor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kayserispor 42%, draw 24%, Eyüpspor 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kayserispor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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