Trabzonspor 1-1 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 15 Sep 2024

Trabzonspor
1-1 HT 1-1
Beşiktaş
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.45
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.0
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
14%
5.9
X/2
14%
5.29
X/X
11%
4.66
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
29.5
2/2
14%
3.42
2/X
8%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.5 — our 11% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+5.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trabzonspor v Beşiktaş — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 42%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.46/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.29
+5% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
17.7 Crosses 18.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Beşiktaş
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.33 xG 1.34
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
270 Passes 349
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.05.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3-2 HT 1-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TÜK
04.02.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-0 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
17.09.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 3-0 HT 2-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
16.04.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
16.10.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-2 HT 1-2 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
03.04.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL

Trabzonspor 1-1 Beşiktaş — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
1-1
AWAY Beşiktaş
0.27 xG 1.47
25% Ball Possession 75%
5 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 13
145 Passes 553
70% Pass Accuracy 87%
5 Box Touches 54
12 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor and Beşiktaş couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Trabzonspor at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 25% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 75%, shots finished 5-22, expected goals 0.27 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Trabzonspor and 1.33 for Beşiktaş.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş?

Trabzonspor 1-1 Beşiktaş in the Turkey - Super League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 41%, draw 25%, Beşiktaş 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trabzonspor), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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