Kasımpaşa 0-2 Fenerbahçe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 15 Sep 2024

Kasımpaşa
0-2 HT 0-2
Fenerbahçe
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Kasımpaşa vs Fenerbahçe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
57%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.9
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.79
6+ Goals
13%
7.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
8.58
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
20.0
1/X
5%
17.2
X/1
9%
12.0
X/2
18%
3.81
X/X
10%
6.83
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
32%
1.84
2/X
5%
16.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.0 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+4.0pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.6pp
57%
Away Win
61%
-4.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kasımpaşa v Fenerbahçe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 66%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.12/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/0.91
+9% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +24%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 85%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.8
18.0 Crosses 21.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Kasımpaşa vs Fenerbahçe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kasımpaşa
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.62 xG 2.96
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
239 Passes 388
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.02.2024 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-1 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
08.10.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 0-2 HT 0-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
29.01.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 5-1 HT 2-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
15.08.2022 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 0-6 HT 0-3 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
28.02.2022 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-2 HT 0-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
03.10.2021 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-1 HT 2-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL

Kasımpaşa 0-2 Fenerbahçe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kasımpaşa
0-2
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.96 xG 1.71
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
356 Passes 251
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
36 Box Touches 18
32 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kasımpaşa vs Fenerbahçe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe beat Kasımpaşa 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kasımpaşa had 58% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 42%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 0.96 to 1.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kasımpaşa and 3.17 for Fenerbahçe.

What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Fenerbahçe?

Kasımpaşa 0-2 Fenerbahçe in the Turkey - Super League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kasımpaşa vs Fenerbahçe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Kasımpaşa 22%, draw 21%, Fenerbahçe 57%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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