Fenerbahçe vs Kasımpaşa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fenerbahçe v Kasımpaşa — Team-Based Signals
Fenerbahçe vs Kasımpaşa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Fenerbahçe
TSL
5-1
HT 2-1
Kasımpaşa
TSL
0-6
HT 0-3
Fenerbahçe
TSL
1-2
HT 0-1
Fenerbahçe
TSL
2-1
HT 2-0
Kasımpaşa
TSL
3-2
HT 3-1
Kasımpaşa
TSL
Fenerbahçe 2-1 Kasımpaşa — Actual Match Statistics
Fenerbahçe nicked a narrow win over Kasımpaşa 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Fenerbahçe had 64% of the ball to Kasımpaşa's 36%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 3.44 to 0.81 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fenerbahçe's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Fenerbahçe and 0.83 for Kasımpaşa.
What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Kasımpaşa?
Fenerbahçe 2-1 Kasımpaşa in the Turkey - Super League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Kasımpaşa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 61%, draw 19%, Kasımpaşa 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.