Kayserispor 3-2 MKE Ankaragücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.78
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.2
6+ Goals
10%
20.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.1
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
13%
4.66
X/2
8%
6.55
X/X
17%
4.12
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
10%
5.01
2/X
9%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.2pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.5pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.71/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.59
+5% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
24.4 Crosses 16.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kayserispor
1W-2D-3L
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.31 xG 0.90
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
392 Passes 283
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 3-0 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
03.06.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 0-1 HT 0-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
08.01.2023 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-1 HT 1-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
13.02.2021 Kayserispor Kayserispor 0-0 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
02.10.2020 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-1 HT 0-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
25.01.2020 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-1 HT 1-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kayserispor
3-2
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
0.78 xG 1.89
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
437 Passes 191
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
13 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kayserispor vs MKE Ankaragücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kayserispor edged past MKE Ankaragücü 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kayserispor as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kayserispor had 65% of the ball to MKE Ankaragücü's 35%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.78 to 1.89 — the balance of chances actually favoured MKE Ankaragücü.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MKE Ankaragücü led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kayserispor and 1.17 for MKE Ankaragücü.

What was the final score of Kayserispor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Kayserispor 3-2 MKE Ankaragücü in the Turkey - Super League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kayserispor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kayserispor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kayserispor 41%, draw 33%, MKE Ankaragücü 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kayserispor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kayserispor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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