Gaziantep FK 0-2 Başakşehir FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
10%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 29% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.98
1/2
9%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
16%
5.92
X/2
10%
5.49
X/X
12%
4.37
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
20%
3.57
2/X
5%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.3pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.3pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
1.43/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.23
+27% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
18.5 Crosses 16.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Başakşehir FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.34 xG 1.29
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
275 Passes 481
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.10.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-0 HT 2-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
05.01.2023 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
12.02.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
22.09.2021 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-0 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
08.04.2021 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
13.12.2020 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-2 HT 0-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
0-2
AWAY Başakşehir FK
0.77 xG 0.43
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 0
319 Passes 297
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 7
24 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Başakşehir FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK beat Gaziantep FK 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; Başakşehir FK found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 52% of the ball to Başakşehir FK's 48%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 0.77 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gaziantep FK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gaziantep FK and 1.00 for Başakşehir FK.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Başakşehir FK?

Gaziantep FK 0-2 Başakşehir FK in the Turkey - Super League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Başakşehir FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 37%, draw 23%, Başakşehir FK 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Başakşehir FK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
24 Feb 2024
13:30 Kayserispor vs MKE Ankaragücü Analysis →
19:00 Konyaspor vs Hatayspor Analysis →
19:00 Fenerbahçe vs Kasımpaşa Analysis →