Başakşehir FK 1-1 Fenerbahçe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 6 Dec 2025

Başakşehir FK
1-1 HT 0-0
Fenerbahçe
📅06/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Turkey - Super League – 2025/2026

Başakşehir FK vs Fenerbahçe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
53%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.08
6+ Goals
12%
9.99
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 26% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.34
1/2
9%
22.25
1/X
6%
14.75
X/1
4%
8.59
X/2
13%
4.55
X/X
14%
5.47
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
30%
2.39
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
53%
Away Win
51%
+1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Başakşehir FK v Fenerbahçe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 56%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
0.91/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.11
-13% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +22%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
248 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
13.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
12.5 Crosses 19.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Başakşehir FK vs Fenerbahçe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Başakşehir FK
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.68 xG 2.44
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
260 Passes 420
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 41
12 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.05.2025 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-4 HT 0-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
15.12.2024 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-1 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
24.01.2024 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
28.09.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 4-0 HT 3-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
11.06.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-0 HT 2-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TÜK
19.04.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-2 HT 1-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL

Başakşehir FK 1-1 Fenerbahçe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Başakşehir FK
1-1
AWAY Fenerbahçe
1.08 xG 1.10
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 8
306 Passes 269
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Başakşehir FK vs Fenerbahçe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK and Fenerbahçe couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fenerbahçe at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Başakşehir FK had 52% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 48%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.08 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Başakşehir FK and 2.67 for Fenerbahçe.

What was the final score of Başakşehir FK vs Fenerbahçe?

Başakşehir FK 1-1 Fenerbahçe in the Turkey - Super League on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Başakşehir FK vs Fenerbahçe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Başakşehir FK 22%, draw 26%, Fenerbahçe 53%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fenerbahçe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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