Espanyol II 1-1 Europa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.56
Over
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
38%
4-5
21%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-7.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espanyol II EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Europa EU Bookmakers 49%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.03/0.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.68
+7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -47%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
170 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Espanyol II
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Europa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.02.2022 Espanyol II Espanyol II 1-0 HT 0-0 Europa Europa İS4
26.09.2021 Europa Europa 1-3 HT 1-1 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Espanyol II
1-1
AWAY Europa
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Espanyol II vs Europa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espanyol II and Europa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Espanyol II had 46% of the ball to Europa's 54%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Espanyol II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Espanyol II and 0.50 for Europa.

What was the final score of Espanyol II vs Europa?

Espanyol II 1-1 Europa in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espanyol II vs Europa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Europa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Espanyol II 32%, draw 30%, Europa 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Europa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Europa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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