ABC FC 1-0 Sousa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Copa Do Nordeste, 7 Jan 2024

ABC FC
1-0 HT 0-0
Sousa
📅07/01/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABC FC EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sousa EU Bookmakers 39%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-30% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ABC FC
1-0
AWAY Sousa
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH ABC FC vs Sousa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ABC FC edged past Sousa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ABC FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, ABC FC had 45% of the ball to Sousa's 55%, shots finished 13-11.

What was the final score of ABC FC vs Sousa?

ABC FC 1-0 Sousa in the Brazil - Copa Do Nordeste on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABC FC vs Sousa?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABC FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split ABC FC 41%, draw 27%, Sousa 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ABC FC) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ABC FC) ✗ BTTS Yes
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