CSA Alagoano 1-1 Iguatu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Copa Do Nordeste, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.5
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
31%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
25%
+13.4pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.6pp
31%
Away Win
52%
-20.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSA Alagoano EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Iguatu EU Bookmakers 56%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-30% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSA Alagoano
1-1
AWAY Iguatu
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 9
POST-MATCH CSA Alagoano vs Iguatu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSA Alagoano and Iguatu shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, CSA Alagoano had 63% of the ball to Iguatu's 37%, shots finished 15-15.

What was the final score of CSA Alagoano vs Iguatu?

CSA Alagoano 1-1 Iguatu in the Brazil - Copa Do Nordeste on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSA Alagoano vs Iguatu?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSA Alagoano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CSA Alagoano 38%, draw 31%, Iguatu 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CSA Alagoano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSA Alagoano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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