Sampaio Correa FC 2-2 Potiguar Mossoro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Copa Do Nordeste, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
-3.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampaio Correa FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Potiguar Mossoro EU Bookmakers 20%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+10% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampaio Correa FC
2-2
AWAY Potiguar Mossoro
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Sampaio Correa FC vs Potiguar Mossoro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sampaio Correa FC and Potiguar Mossoro couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Sampaio Correa FC carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sampaio Correa FC had 48% of the ball to Potiguar Mossoro's 52%, shots finished 8-14.

What was the final score of Sampaio Correa FC vs Potiguar Mossoro?

Sampaio Correa FC 2-2 Potiguar Mossoro in the Brazil - Copa Do Nordeste on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampaio Correa FC vs Potiguar Mossoro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sampaio Correa FC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sampaio Correa FC 56%, draw 23%, Potiguar Mossoro 21%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sampaio Correa FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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