Yuen Long 1-2 Central & Western — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.48
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
45%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.56
No
38%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
31%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
19%
+12.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.5pp
45%
Away Win
60%
-15.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.6pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yuen Long EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Central & Western EU Bookmakers 64%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.99/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.27
+8% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yuen Long
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Central & Western
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
05.02.2023 Yuen Long Yuen Long 0-0 HT 0-0 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
23.10.2022 Central & Western Central & Western 2-2 HT 2-0 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
07.11.2021 Yuen Long Yuen Long 4-2 HT 1-1 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
POST-MATCH Yuen Long vs Central & Western
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central & Western nicked a narrow win over Yuen Long 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Central & Western as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Yuen Long had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Yuen Long and 1.33 for Central & Western.

What was the final score of Yuen Long vs Central & Western?

Yuen Long 1-2 Central & Western in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yuen Long vs Central & Western?

Before kick-off our model rated an Central & Western win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Yuen Long 31%, draw 24%, Central & Western 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central & Western), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Central & Western) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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