Sutton United 1-0 Tamworth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 7 Jan 2025

📅07/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutton United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Tamworth EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
138 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 127 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutton United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Tamworth
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
1 Passes 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.12.2024 Sutton United Sutton United 1-2 HT 1-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
10.08.2024 Tamworth Tamworth 1-1 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
POST-MATCH Sutton United vs Tamworth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sutton United edged past Tamworth 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sutton United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tamworth led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sutton United and 1.50 for Tamworth.

What was the final score of Sutton United vs Tamworth?

Sutton United 1-0 Tamworth in the England - FA Cup on 07/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutton United vs Tamworth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sutton United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sutton United 44%, draw 27%, Tamworth 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sutton United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sutton United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNFAT More England - FA Cup
7 Jan 2025
22:45 Woking vs Radcliffe Borough Analysis →
22:45 Biggleswade vs Oxford City Analysis →