Sutton United 1-2 Tamworth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.2
6+ Goals
8%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 31% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.06
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
16.05
X/1
16%
3.83
X/2
9%
10.65
X/X
10%
5.5
2/1
10%
23.0
2/2
10%
8.41
2/X
5%
16.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.8pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.9pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutton United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Tamworth EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.77/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.47
-8% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
239 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutton United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Tamworth
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
10.08.2024 Tamworth Tamworth 1-1 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sutton United
1-2
AWAY Tamworth
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
1 Passes 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sutton United vs Tamworth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth edged past Sutton United 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sutton United at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sutton United had 62% of the ball to Tamworth's 38%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Sutton United vs Tamworth?

Sutton United 1-2 Tamworth in the England - National League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutton United vs Tamworth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sutton United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sutton United 50%, draw 26%, Tamworth 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sutton United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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