Tamworth 1-1 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 10 Aug 2024

Tamworth
1-1 HT 0-0
Sutton United
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Tamworth vs Sutton United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.0
Over 2.5
41%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.76
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
3.23
6+ Goals
8%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 30% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.44
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
9%
12.55
X/1
14%
6.62
X/2
10%
5.1
X/X
12%
4.75
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
20%
3.07
2/X
9%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.6pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
46%
+13.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
54%
-13.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tamworth v Sutton United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tamworth EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / +3%
1.16/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.21
-11% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.3

Tamworth 1-1 Sutton United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tamworth
1-1
AWAY Sutton United
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tamworth vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth and Sutton United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Tamworth had 48% of the ball to Sutton United's 52%, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of Tamworth vs Sutton United?

Tamworth 1-1 Sutton United in the England - National League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tamworth vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sutton United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tamworth 33%, draw 30%, Sutton United 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sutton United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sutton United) ✓ Under 2.5
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