Aldershot Town 3-3 Forest Green Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 10 Aug 2024

Aldershot Town
3-3 HT 2-1
Forest Green Rovers
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Aldershot Town vs Forest Green Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.94
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.35
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
11%
12.45
X/1
10%
5.45
X/2
13%
6.06
X/X
11%
4.91
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
2/2
15%
3.9
2/X
7%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aldershot Town v Forest Green Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.29/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.28
-11% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
307 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Aldershot Town vs Forest Green Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aldershot Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
The Meetings
05.11.2016 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
04.10.2016 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-4 HT 0-4 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
25.03.2016 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
07.10.2015 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-3 HT 0-2 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
03.04.2015 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-3 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
22.08.2014 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL

Aldershot Town 3-3 Forest Green Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aldershot Town
3-3
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aldershot Town vs Forest Green Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aldershot Town and Forest Green Rovers couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Aldershot Town had 57% of the ball to Forest Green Rovers's 43%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forest Green Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aldershot Town and 1.83 for Forest Green Rovers.

What was the final score of Aldershot Town vs Forest Green Rovers?

Aldershot Town 3-3 Forest Green Rovers in the England - National League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aldershot Town vs Forest Green Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aldershot Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Aldershot Town 37%, draw 29%, Forest Green Rovers 34%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aldershot Town), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aldershot Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
10 Aug 2024
17:00 Halifax Town vs Barnet Analysis →
17:00 Tamworth vs Sutton United Analysis →
17:00 AFC Fylde vs Solihull Moors Analysis →
17:00 Yeovil vs Hartlepool United Analysis →
17:00 Maidenhead United vs Eastleigh Analysis →
17:00 Altrincham vs Woking Analysis →