AFC Fylde 3-2 Solihull Moors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.72
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.27
6+ Goals
9%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.24
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
14%
6.3
X/2
16%
5.1
X/X
11%
4.86
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
10%
3.16
2/X
8%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-5.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.8pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Solihull Moors EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.97/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.09
+42% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Fylde
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Solihull Moors
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.02.2024 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 2-2 HT 2-1 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
19.09.2023 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 2-1 HT 2-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
18.12.2021 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 0-1 HT 0-1 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors FAK
07.03.2020 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 0-0 HT 0-0 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
16.11.2019 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 3-1 HT 3-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
04.05.2019 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 0-1 HT 0-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Fylde
3-2
AWAY Solihull Moors
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AFC Fylde vs Solihull Moors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Fylde edged past Solihull Moors 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day AFC Fylde made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, AFC Fylde had 45% of the ball to Solihull Moors's 55%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Solihull Moors led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for AFC Fylde and 1.33 for Solihull Moors.

What was the final score of AFC Fylde vs Solihull Moors?

AFC Fylde 3-2 Solihull Moors in the England - National League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Fylde vs Solihull Moors?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Fylde win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split AFC Fylde 39%, draw 26%, Solihull Moors 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Fylde), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Fylde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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