Yeovil 0-1 Hartlepool United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
41%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.58
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.35
6+ Goals
8%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 29% vs market 22.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
3.36
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
15%
5.28
X/2
15%
5.98
X/X
10%
4.76
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
18%
4.0
2/X
8%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-7.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
41%
Away Win
34%
+7.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeovil EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.10/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.28
-25% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeovil
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Hartlepool United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
20.02.2021 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
21.11.2020 Yeovil Yeovil 1-3 HT 1-3 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
18.01.2020 Yeovil Yeovil 2-2 HT 2-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
12.11.2019 Yeovil Yeovil 1-4 HT 1-2 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United FAK
05.10.2019 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
04.02.2017 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-1 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeovil
0-1
AWAY Hartlepool United
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Yeovil vs Hartlepool United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartlepool United squeezed past Yeovil 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hartlepool United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Yeovil had 57% of the ball to Hartlepool United's 43%, shots finished 5-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartlepool United led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Yeovil and 2.33 for Hartlepool United.

What was the final score of Yeovil vs Hartlepool United?

Yeovil 0-1 Hartlepool United in the England - National League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeovil vs Hartlepool United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Yeovil 33%, draw 26%, Hartlepool United 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartlepool United) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
10 Aug 2024
17:00 Halifax Town vs Barnet Analysis →
17:00 Tamworth vs Sutton United Analysis →
17:00 AFC Fylde vs Solihull Moors Analysis →
17:00 Aldershot Town vs Forest Green Rovers Analysis →
17:00 Maidenhead United vs Eastleigh Analysis →
17:00 Altrincham vs Woking Analysis →