AFC Fylde 2-2 Solihull Moors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 20 Feb 2024

📅20/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.89
6+ Goals
12%
8.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.86
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
5%
12.75
X/1
11%
5.01
X/2
8%
6.83
X/X
9%
5.44
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.7
2/2
16%
4.39
2/X
7%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.6pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.4pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Solihull Moors EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +25%
1.67/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.42
+9% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Fylde
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Solihull Moors
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2023 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 2-1 HT 2-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
18.12.2021 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 0-1 HT 0-1 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors FAK
07.03.2020 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 0-0 HT 0-0 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
16.11.2019 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 3-1 HT 3-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
04.05.2019 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 0-1 HT 0-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
26.01.2019 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 1-2 HT 0-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Fylde
2-2
AWAY Solihull Moors
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AFC Fylde vs Solihull Moors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Fylde and Solihull Moors couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Fylde at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AFC Fylde had 43% of the ball to Solihull Moors's 57%, shots finished 12-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Solihull Moors led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for AFC Fylde and 1.17 for Solihull Moors.

What was the final score of AFC Fylde vs Solihull Moors?

AFC Fylde 2-2 Solihull Moors in the England - National League on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Fylde vs Solihull Moors?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Fylde win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split AFC Fylde 47%, draw 21%, Solihull Moors 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Fylde) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Fylde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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