Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Woking — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 20 Feb 2024

Ebbsfleet United
1-0 HT 1-0
Woking
📅20/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
England - National League – 2023/2024

Ebbsfleet United vs Woking Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.64
6+ Goals
8%
14.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 32% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.17
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
11%
13.4
X/1
13%
4.86
X/2
10%
6.17
X/X
9%
4.62
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
17%
4.42
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.8pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ebbsfleet United v Woking — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Woking EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.46/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.51
+2% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Ebbsfleet United vs Woking Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebbsfleet United
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Woking
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.09.2023 Woking Woking 1-1 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
28.01.2020 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-1 HT 0-0 Woking Woking İBSL
22.10.2019 Woking Woking 0-1 HT 0-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United FAK
19.10.2019 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-1 HT 1-0 Woking Woking FAK
14.09.2019 Woking Woking 2-2 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
20.02.2018 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-1 HT 1-0 Woking Woking İBSL

Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Woking — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
1-0
AWAY Woking
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Woking
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ebbsfleet United edged past Woking 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Ebbsfleet United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 50% of the ball to Woking's 50%, shots finished 9-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ebbsfleet United and 1.00 for Woking.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Woking?

Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Woking in the England - National League on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Woking?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 39%, draw 27%, Woking 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ebbsfleet United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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