Maidenhead United 1-2 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 20 Feb 2024

Maidenhead United
1-2 HT 1-1
Southend United
📅20/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Maidenhead United vs Southend United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.7
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.33
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.6
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
9%
14.15
X/1
14%
6.0
X/2
15%
4.74
X/X
10%
4.17
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.31
2/X
6%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.7pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maidenhead United v Southend United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -11%
1.15/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.00
-13% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Maidenhead United vs Southend United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidenhead United
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Southend United
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.09.2023 Southend United Southend United 2-0 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
07.02.2023 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-2 HT 1-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
29.08.2022 Southend United Southend United 2-0 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
22.03.2022 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 2-1 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
07.12.2021 Southend United Southend United 1-1 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL

Maidenhead United 1-2 Southend United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidenhead United
1-2
AWAY Southend United
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maidenhead United vs Southend United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United nicked a narrow win over Maidenhead United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Southend United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maidenhead United had 45% of the ball to Southend United's 55%, shots finished 7-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Southend United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Maidenhead United and 1.60 for Southend United.

What was the final score of Maidenhead United vs Southend United?

Maidenhead United 1-2 Southend United in the England - National League on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidenhead United vs Southend United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Maidenhead United 33%, draw 25%, Southend United 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southend United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Southend United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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