Hartlepool United 3-2 Altrincham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 20 Feb 2024

📅20/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
9.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.92
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
12%
12.8
X/1
15%
4.98
X/2
9%
6.71
X/X
9%
5.19
2/1
9%
23.6
2/2
20%
4.43
2/X
5%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.6pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Altrincham EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
1.48/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.65
-4% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
389 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Altrincham
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 2-2 HT 2-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
09.03.2021 Altrincham Altrincham 1-1 HT 1-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
27.10.2020 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-1 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
3-2
AWAY Altrincham
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hartlepool United vs Altrincham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartlepool United squeezed past Altrincham 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Hartlepool United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hartlepool United had 41% of the ball to Altrincham's 59%, shots finished 7-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hartlepool United and 1.33 for Altrincham.

What was the final score of Hartlepool United vs Altrincham?

Hartlepool United 3-2 Altrincham in the England - National League on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartlepool United vs Altrincham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 38%, draw 26%, Altrincham 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartlepool United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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