Kidderminster Harriers 0-2 Gateshead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 20 Feb 2024

📅20/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 31% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.78
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
11%
5.34
X/2
12%
5.43
X/X
12%
4.26
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
19%
3.87
2/X
8%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gateshead EU Bookmakers 39%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +12%
0.98/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.29
-29% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gateshead
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.09.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 3-0 HT 2-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İBSL
05.03.2022 Gateshead Gateshead 4-0 HT 2-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
11.09.2021 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 2-3 HT 1-2 Gateshead Gateshead İCON
12.12.2020 Gateshead Gateshead 0-1 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
15.02.2020 Gateshead Gateshead 0-0 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
03.12.2019 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-1 HT 1-1 Gateshead Gateshead İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
0-2
AWAY Gateshead
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kidderminster Harriers vs Gateshead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gateshead beat Kidderminster Harriers 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Gateshead found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kidderminster Harriers had 47% of the ball to Gateshead's 53%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gateshead led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kidderminster Harriers and 1.83 for Gateshead.

What was the final score of Kidderminster Harriers vs Gateshead?

Kidderminster Harriers 0-2 Gateshead in the England - National League on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kidderminster Harriers vs Gateshead?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kidderminster Harriers 36%, draw 27%, Gateshead 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gateshead), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gateshead) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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